Momentum

Crypto momentum signals: the 20-day breakout

When a coin closes beyond its 20-day range, momentum tends to carry it further. The breakout rule trades that close at the next open with a 2 ATR stop, and rides it until price closes back through the opposite 10-day range.

Few wins, big wins

Most breakouts fail and get stopped out. The ones that run pay for the rest, which is what the backtest shows.

Crypto only

On stocks, forex and commodities the same rule did no better than random entries, so it only runs on crypto.

The rules

20-day breakout

16 cryptocurrencies

When a coin closes beyond its 20-day range, trade it at the next open with a 2 ATR stop. Exit after a close through the opposite 10-day range.

Win rate
36%
Avg trade
+8.4%
vs random
+6.2%

Backtest across all markets, 2017–2026, after estimated costs. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations. Methodology and live record →

Recent signals

shown 24h after Pro got them
SELL
BCH-USD20-day breakout

BCH-USD closed below its 20-day low ($264.39) at $263.59. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $295.73 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $303.95).

Nov 8open
SELL
XRP-USD20-day breakout

XRP-USD closed below its 20-day low ($1.20) at $1.18. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $1.28 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $1.34).

Nov 8open
SELL
DOGE-USD20-day breakout

DOGE-USD closed below its 20-day low ($0.0724) at $0.0710. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $0.0775 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $0.0811).

Nov 7open
SELL
TRX-USD20-day breakout

TRX-USD closed below its 20-day low ($0.3267) at $0.3024. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $0.3201 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $0.3631).

Nov 2-6.2%
SELL
ETC-USD20-day breakout

ETC-USD closed below its 20-day low ($7.40) at $7.09. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $7.70 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $8.20).

Oct 31open
SELL
ATOM-USD20-day breakout

ATOM-USD closed below its 20-day low ($1.60) at $1.50. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $1.66 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $1.81).

Oct 31open

How a trade works

  1. 1The scanner checks every market after its daily close.
  2. 2A setup triggers: Pro gets the entry and the exit rule right away.
  3. 3When the exit rule fires, Pro gets an exit alert for the next open.
  4. 4The result goes into the public track record, win or lose.

Questions

Why does the breakout rule lose more often than it wins?

It's a trend-following rule: small losses on false breakouts, larger gains on the real ones. In the backtest it won about a third of the time and still averaged a profit per trade.

Is there a free plan for Vantum?

Yes. Free accounts see every signal 24 hours after it fires, plus the full track record. Pro ($19/month, 7-day free trial) gets entries as the close confirms them and exit alerts by Telegram, email or webhook.

Are these results real?

The rules were chosen on 2017–2022 data and checked on 2023 onwards and on tickers the research never used. Those backtest results are hypothetical. Every live trade since launch is published with its result at /accuracy, losses included.

Is this financial advice?

No. These are rule-based signals for education and research. Past performance, real or simulated, does not guarantee future results.

Get the next trade in time to act on it

Pro sends each entry as the daily close confirms it and an exit alert when it's time to close. $19/month after a 7-day free trial. Free accounts see every trade 24 hours later.