Mean reversion

Mean reversion that respects the trend

Buying oversold markets works best when the bigger trend is up. Vantum's pullback rule only buys a sharp short-term drop (RSI(2) under 10) when price is above its 200-day average, then sells as soon as it bounces back above the 5-day average.

Short-term oversold

A 2-period RSI reacts to two or three down days, far faster than the usual 14-period setting.

Long-term trend filter

Without the 200-day filter, the same rule lost its edge in our tests, especially in crypto.

The rules

Pullback in an uptrend

57 stocks & ETFs and 16 crypto

When a market above its 200-day average drops hard (RSI(2) under 10), buy the next open. Sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average, or after 10 trading days.

Win rate
66%
Avg trade
+0.5%
vs random
+0.4%

Backtest across all markets, 2017–2026, after estimated costs. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations. Methodology and live record →

Recent signals

shown 24h after Pro got them
BUY
TXNPullback in uptrend

TXN pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 8.0, price $278.15 above its 200-day average ($261.86). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $301.00), or after 10 trading days.

Nov 6open
BUY
XLEPullback in uptrend

XLE pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 4.5, price $63.52 above its 200-day average ($59.01). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $67.24), or after 10 trading days.

Nov 5open
BUY
CVXPullback in uptrend

CVX pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 5.8, price $216.96 above its 200-day average ($194.20). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $227.40), or after 10 trading days.

Nov 5open
BUY
XOMPullback in uptrend

XOM pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 5.6, price $169.27 above its 200-day average ($155.28). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $179.39), or after 10 trading days.

Nov 5open
BUY
TSLAPullback in uptrend

TSLA pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 7.9, price $385.19 above its 200-day average ($384.76). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $398.12), or after 10 trading days.

Nov 5open
BUY
AAPLPullback in uptrend

AAPL pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 6.5, price $331.90 above its 200-day average ($297.34). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $341.52), or after 10 trading days.

Nov 4+3.5%

How a trade works

  1. 1The scanner checks every market after its daily close.
  2. 2A setup triggers: Pro gets the entry and the exit rule right away.
  3. 3When the exit rule fires, Pro gets an exit alert for the next open.
  4. 4The result goes into the public track record, win or lose.

Questions

Why RSI(2) instead of RSI(14)?

In our backtest, the classic RSI(14) under 30 rule did not beat random entries. The 2-period version with a trend filter did, on data it was not chosen on.

Is there a free plan for Vantum?

Yes. Free accounts see every signal 24 hours after it fires, plus the full track record. Pro ($19/month, 7-day free trial) gets entries as the close confirms them and exit alerts by Telegram, email or webhook.

Are these results real?

The rules were chosen on 2017–2022 data and checked on 2023 onwards and on tickers the research never used. Those backtest results are hypothetical. Every live trade since launch is published with its result at /accuracy, losses included.

Is this financial advice?

No. These are rule-based signals for education and research. Past performance, real or simulated, does not guarantee future results.

Get the next trade in time to act on it

Pro sends each entry as the daily close confirms it and an exit alert when it's time to close. $19/month after a 7-day free trial. Free accounts see every trade 24 hours later.